How Accurate Are the Predictions?
❓ FAQLet's be transparent about what's precise and what's estimated:
Rock-Solid Accurate (Pure Math)
- •The odds data — Pulled directly from sportsbooks every 10 minutes
- •+EV calculations — Mathematical comparison of Book A vs Pinnacle
- •Signal detection — Algorithmic, based on defined movement thresholds
- •CLV tracking — Compares your bet price to the actual closing line
- •Arbitrage/Middle detection — Pure math across bookmaker prices
Estimated (Model-Based)
- •Model probability — Based on historical base rates + contextual variance
- •Public ticket splits — Modeled from odds movement, not real handle data
- •Edge classification — Depends on model probability accuracy
Think of it this way:
"FanDuel is paying $20 more than Pinnacle for the same bet" → This is a FACT. Pure price comparison.
"The Lakers have a 62% chance of winning" → This is an ESTIMATE. Our model's best guess. [/example]
The +EV and signal features don't depend on model accuracy. They compare real bookmaker prices against each other. That's pure math, not prediction.