Analyzing Your Bet Tracker Results
🛠️ Tools & FeaturesRaw data is just numbers. Here's how to extract actionable insights from your tracker history.
Key Metrics to Watch
1. CLV (Most Important)
Your average CLV: +5 cents
Meaning: You consistently get odds 5 cents better than closing.
Verdict: You're a winning bettor long-term. Keep doing what you're doing.
Your average CLV: -3 cents Meaning: You're consistently getting worse odds than closing. Verdict: You're betting too late or chasing moved lines. Bet earlier. [/example]
2. ROI by Source
- •Screener finds → Should be your highest-ROI category
- •Signal-based → Should show positive CLV
- •Gut bets → Probably your worst category (be honest)
Filter your bets by how you found them:
3. ROI by Sport
NBA: +8% ROI (your edge sport — bet more here)
NFL: +2% ROI (modest edge — maintain current sizing)
MLB: -4% ROI (losing money — reduce sizing or study more)
Common Patterns and Fixes
Pattern: High win rate, low CLV Fix: You're good at picking winners but bad at getting value. Bet earlier in the day or focus on books that are slow to adjust.
Pattern: Low win rate, high CLV Fix: You're on the right side of the market but running bad. Stay the course — CLV predicts long-term profit.
Pattern: Great on favorites, bad on underdogs Fix: You may be overvaluing underdogs. Tighten your criteria for plus-money bets.
Monthly Review Checklist
- What's my CLV trend? (Should be positive or improving)
- Which sport/market is most profitable? (Bet more there)
- Which sport/market is losing? (Reduce or cut)
- Am I betting from signals or gut? (Track the source)
- Is my bankroll growing or shrinking? (Adjust Kelly accordingly)
The Bet Tracker auto-generates most of these breakdowns. Review monthly, adjust quarterly. For personalized coaching based on your data, check the CLV Coach. See Setting Up Your Bet Tracker if you haven't started logging yet.