Parlay Correlations Explained
🛠️ Tools & FeaturesNot all parlay legs are independent. Understanding correlation helps you build smarter parlays — or avoid traps.
What is Correlation?
Two outcomes are "correlated" when one happening makes the other more likely.
POSITIVE CORRELATION (good for parlays):
• Chiefs to win + Chiefs Over team total
(If the Chiefs win, they probably scored a lot)
NEGATIVE CORRELATION (bad for parlays): • Chiefs to win + Opponent Over team total (If the Chiefs dominate, the opponent probably scored less) [/example]
How the AI Parlay Builder Handles This
- •A team winning big AND the opponent scoring a lot
- •Two outcomes that cancel each other out
- •Legs from the same game that conflict logically
The AI avoids negatively correlated legs. It won't combine:
Same-Game Parlays (SGPs)
SGPs let you exploit positive correlations within a single game:
Positively correlated SGP:
• Over 48.5 total points
• Patrick Mahomes Over 275 passing yards
• Travis Kelce Over 5.5 receptions
These all benefit from a high-scoring game. [/example]
The AI Parlay Builder automatically checks for correlation conflicts. For manual builds, think about whether your legs "want" the same game script. Read Using the AI Parlay Builder for the full walkthrough.