+EV (Positive Expected Value)
📖 GlossaryDefinition
A +EV bet is one where the payout odds are better than the true probability of the outcome. Over many repetitions, you expect to profit.
A coin flip pays +110 (you bet $100, win $110).
True probability: 50%
Break-even odds: +100
You're getting +110 on a 50/50 → that's +EV.
Over 100 flips: 50 wins × $110 = $5,500 collected 50 losses × $100 = $5,000 lost Net profit: $500 → +EV confirmed. [/example]
How SharpWire Finds +EV
We compare soft book odds to Pinnacle (the sharp benchmark). When a soft book offers better odds than what Pinnacle's sharp market says, that's a +EV opportunity — the soft book is mispricing.
+EV doesn't mean "this bet will win." It means if you made this bet 1,000 times at these odds, you'd come out ahead. Individual bets still lose regularly.