What is Edge?
⚡ Signals & EdgeEdge is the difference between what the sportsbook thinks will happen and what our model estimates will happen. When there's a gap, that's your potential profit.
Think of It Like a Sale
A store prices a jacket at $80.
You know it's worth $100 (because other stores sell it for $100).
Your "edge" = $20 (you're getting $20 of value).
In betting terms: The sportsbook says the Lakers have a 55% chance of winning. Our model says they have a 60% chance. Your edge = 5% (the book is underpricing the Lakers). [/example]
Edge Classifications
🟢 HIGH EDGE (>5%): Big gap. The market might be significantly wrong.
🟡 MILD EDGE (2-5%): Moderate gap. Worth a look, especially with signals.
⚪ LOW EDGE (<2%): Small gap. The market is probably priced correctly.
Important: Edge is About the Long Run
A +5% edge does NOT mean "this bet will win." It means: if you made this exact bet 100 times, you'd expect to come out ahead.
Think of it like a casino. The house has a 2-5% edge on every bet. They lose individual hands all the time. But over thousands of bets, that small edge makes them billions.
High edge + strong signals = the highest confidence plays. The math AND the pros agree.